Hello, welcome to WarFare News. Now, recently, Nepal has sent a huge warning to India and according to me, we should take this warning seriously because if tomorrow, even after this warning, some big incident happens, then somewhere questions will be raised in India that why did we not take action on the basis of this warning?

A Credible Voice Raises the Alarm

Here, you will see that dozens of articles are being published on the top Nepalese officials of today. This is not some random official. Sunil Bahadur Thapa has been a minister in the Nepal government. Today, he is the political advisor to the President of Nepal. He has recently given a warning. By giving the warning, he has said that Pakistan-based terrorist organizations like Jaish-e-Mohammed, Lashkar-e-Taiba, primarily these two organizations and their offshoots, can take advantage of the open border system between Nepal and India to launch a big attack on India.

How the Open Border Could Be Exploited

Here, you have to understand how the transit route can be misused to attack India. Think about it yourself. They must have received intelligence input from somewhere. That is why Nepal is raising this topic on its own. Otherwise, if you think about it, India should raise it. But Nepal itself is saying it. If something happens tomorrow, do not blame us for not doing anything here. We are already doing it after Operation Sindoor.

India’s Response and Strategic Calculations

Look what India has done now? We have created a new normal for Pakistan and have told the whole world that the next time there is a terrorist attack on India, we will bomb Pakistan. That will happen. Now we have imposed a new price on Pakistan. Now, look what happens is that finding terrorists, now a terrorist may hide in a hole somewhere, etc. Finding him becomes difficult at times.

Pakistan’s Changing Strategy: Why Nepal?

If you think about it, even the USA took several decades to find Osama bin Laden. Even though the US is a superpower, the main planner of 911, the biggest terrorist attack in the world, remained safe for many years. But we will start targeting the terror camps in Pakistan. So now Pakistan will change its strategy. Its groups will change their strategy. These people will most likely try to attack us through Nepal.

Pakistan’s Diplomatic Cover Story

So if the attack happens through Nepal, Pakistan may have another reason to tell the international community including the US that why are we being attacked, the attackers have come from Nepal, look, something different must have happened in Nepal, we have not carried out this attack and here you have to understand how the open border system works between India and Nepal and how terrorists can exploit it.

The Open Border Pact: A Symbol of Brotherhood

Now, if you look here, you will see this map of Asia. This is our beloved India. And look, the relations between Nepal and India are centuries old. Both countries, you can say, co-exist like brothers. Now, the biggest testimony of good relations between India and Nepal is that Nepal is the only country with which we have an open border pact.

Benefits of the Open Border System

China has also not made this type of open border pact with any country. Pakistan has not done it. You will not find relations between any two countries in Asia at such a level that there is an open border pact. There is no need for a visa or passport. Citizens can go from Nepal to India. Just by showing basic documents like voter ID, Aadhaar card, which is their own country ID, they just have to show it at the border check point.

A Threat Hidden in Opportunity

I would say that this type of system is seen in the European Union and because of this system we have seen that India-Nepal relations have improved. Nepal has a lot of manpower. These people come to India, work, do business, and improve their economy with it. Many citizens of Nepal have served in the Indian Army. They are still serving. But now imagine it. Some terrorists of Jaish-e-Mohammad or Lashkar-e-Taiba have reached Nepal.

How Terrorists Can Exploit Nepal

He can reach there by flight. The security of airports today is good. Our officials are mostly active in India. They are not that active in Nepal. So, if we assume that these terrorists of Jaish-e-Mohammad and Lashkar-e-Taiba reach Nepal gradually, we don’t need many terrorists. These people can carry out an operation with 20-25 terrorists. These people have reached here.

Infiltration Through Corruption and Fake IDs

After that, these terrorists have to make their ID in Nepal itself easily. Be it India or Nepal, Bangladesh or even Pakistan, you know that there is still a lot of corruption in this region. These IDs, etc., are often made by giving bribes. So after that, these terrorists can infiltrate India, and once they enter India. So, after that, you can understand that they can attack our big cities.

Target Zones: Why Northern States Are Vulnerable

This time, primarily our big cities can be attacked. In Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, or Bihar, these states of ours will suddenly become vulnerable. On the contrary, if you think about it and plan it, then they can literally target Delhi as well, and we will not understand how suddenly these Pakistani terrorists reached the areas around our capital, our big cities.

How to Respond: What Should India Do Now?

So Nepal officials have warned India that this can happen. Now, the question here is how to stop this. Immediately, this question will come to your mind about ending the open border; again, this is not a solution. We cannot close this border based on the fear of Pakistani terrorists.

The Right Way Forward: Intelligence and Coordination

I think this is the right way here. We will have to coordinate with the intelligence agencies of Nepal and the airport authorities here and ensure that all the flights coming not only from Pakistan but even from Bangladesh are properly monitored. Who are the people who are coming to your country? Their movement has to be tracked properly.

India’s Role in Securing Nepal Border

We have to increase our intelligence in Nepal a lot. Only then can we keep an open border with Nepal. Otherwise, Nepal’s open border can be a threat to India’s security. If Pakistani terrorists come to exploit it.

A History of Terror from the Nepal Border

And if you doubt in your mind that can this happen? A large-scale terrorist attack from Nepal. Well, you just have to go back a few years. Not a few years back, you have to go back 25-26 years. In 1999, Indian Airlines Flight 814 was a flight that was going from Kathmandu to Delhi. The terrorists hijacked it and took it straight to Afghanistan, and the terrorists held all the passengers captive.

Past Examples That Can’t Be Ignored

At that time, Ajit Dobal sahab played a critical role as a negotiator. Slowly, these passengers were released, and India was forced to release three terrorists. Who were those terrorists? Ahmed, Umar, Saeed Sheikh, Masood Azhar. Yes, Jaish-e-Mohammed’s chief Masood Azhar. He was in jail in India. In 1999, after this hijacking, he had to be released, and Mushtaq, Ahmed, and Zargar had to be released to save the passengers.

Recent Arrests Prove the Threat is Real

Then, after that, in 2013, there were bombings in many places in India. It was said that the terrorists of that time had come to India from the India-Nepal border. Recently, in April 2024, the ATS of Uttar Pradesh, the Anti-Terrorist Squad, caught two Pakistani nationals, one Mohammad Altaf Bhatt and Syed Ghazanfar. Both of them were trying to come to India from the Nepal border.

The Role of Turkey: Another Dimension

So the threat warning that we have been given is very genuine. I think we should take it very seriously, and at the same time, we also have to raise the issue of why Turkey’s involvement is increasing on the India-Nepal border.

Foreign Influence Near Our Borders

Again, all these reports are coming out. It will be sad if any incident happens in the future. Then I am just pointing out these reports that a lot of people have written about it. News 18 had published a very good article about it that shows that over 100 Turkish Madrasas are being built on the India-Nepal border.

Monitoring the Right Way

Turkey is not a country, nor is Pakistan a country, that wants the good of India. Of course, if religious buildings are coming up on their own. That’s fine. But two foreign countries have caused harm to India. At the international level, Turkey supplied drones. Pakistan attacked India. So whatever investments are being made by these two countries around the India Nepal border area, we will have to properly monitor it.

Conclusion: A Developing Story to Watch Closely

And let me tell you that this is a topic that is going to be in the news a lot in the coming times. I think important developments related to this will also come.

Pakistan will Attack India from Nepal